A post in which I discuss the statistics of Progress, Progress Moves and Challenge Ranks in the context of that...
A post in which I discuss the statistics of Progress, Progress Moves and Challenge Ranks in the context of that wonderful optional rule, Scene Challenges. I used a Python script to run a crude Monte Carlo analysis to simulate 10,000,000 scene challenges, 40% of which were randomised by trait, and the others using a fixed trait. Because, geek. TL;DR - The borderline between Dangerous and Formidable is pretty much the point at which you're more likely to failure than succeed. Proceed with caution. https://phophosolo.home.blog/2019/01/21/the-statistics-of-progress-in-ironsworn-scene-challenges/